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Does being read to predict reading?

A smaller effect on reading itself than often claimed

The short answer

Does being read to at home predict how well my child will read?

The National Early Literacy Panel found that shared-reading programs helped spoken language and knowledge about print. It also reports that earlier research summaries had cast doubt on the size of the benefit usually claimed for reading picture books with young children.

What the research found

  • 6 × Reported by a research review
  1. The National Early Literacy Panel notes that reading with young children is often called the single most important thing adults can do for early literacy.

    In the source’s own words“Shared-reading activities are often recommended as the single most important thing adults can do to promote the emergent literacy skills of young children.”
  2. The panel reports that earlier research summaries had cast doubt on the size of the benefit usually claimed for reading picture books with young children.

    In the source’s own words“their results called into question the positive effects often claimed for reading or sharing picture books with young children.”
  3. The panel's own analysis found that shared-reading programs helped spoken language and knowledge about print.

    In the source’s own words“shared-reading interventions can have a significant, substantial, and positive impact both on young children’s oral language skills and on young children’s print knowledge.”
  4. The panel lists knowledge of how print and books work among the early skills that were moderately linked to later reading.

    In the source’s own words“concepts about print: knowledge of print conventions (e.g., left–right, front–back) and concepts (book cover, author, text)”
    Reported by a research reviewSource 1, Executive Summary, p. viii
  5. In a meta-analysis of parent programs for kindergarten to grade 3, the two studies where parents read to their child showed a small effect on early reading skills that could not be told apart from zero.

    In the source’s own words“the two studies where parents read to their child produced a small effect size (0.18) that was not different from 0.”
  6. The National Reading Panel describes one study that measured many things at school entry, including parents' reports of reading to their children, and found that sound awareness and letter knowledge were the top predictors of reading.

    In the source’s own words“parental reports of reading to children, TV watching, and many more. These researchers examined which of these measures best predicted how well the children would be reading at the end of kindergarten and at the end of 1st grade. Results showed that PA was the top predictor along with letter knowledge.”

What this means at home

  • Read to your child for language, knowledge and enjoyment.
  • Do not count on it alone to teach reading.
  • We found no source that reports a result for the number of books in a home.
  • The free two-minute check points to the reading skill to teach first.

What the research does not tell us

  • The early literacy panel says too few shared-reading studies measured other outcomes to give a reliable estimate for them.
  • The panel's predictor analysis looked at children's own early skills, not at the number of books in the home; none of the three sources reports a result for books at home.
  • The parent-reading result is based on two studies and on early reading skills as that review defined them; it does not measure language or enjoyment.
  • The National Reading Panel passage describes a single study (Share et al., 1984) and predictions only to the end of first grade.

Sources

We read each of these ourselves on October 9, 2026. Follow the links to read them too.

  1. Developing Early Literacy: Report of the National Early Literacy Panel. National Early Literacy Panel; National Institute for Literacy. 2008.The report of a U.S. panel that combined the results of published studies of children from birth to age 5 (and kindergarten) to find which early skills predict later reading and which kinds of programs build them.www.nichd.nih.gov/sites/default/files/publications/pubs/documents/NELPReport09.pdf
  2. The Effect of Family Literacy Interventions On Children's Acquisition of Reading From Kindergarten to Grade 3: A Meta-Analytic Review. Monique Sénéchal, for the National Center for Family Literacy; published by the National Institute for Literacy (ERIC document ED494112). 2006.A meta-analysis, published by a U.S. federal literacy institute, that combined 14 intervention studies in which parents did reading activities with their children in kindergarten to grade 3.files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED494112.pdf
  3. Report of the National Reading Panel: Teaching Children to Read: An Evidence-Based Assessment of the Scientific Research Literature on Reading and Its Implications for Reading Instruction: Reports of the Subgroups. National Reading Panel; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, U.S. National Institutes of Health. 2000.The full report of a panel convened at the request of the U.S. Congress, which reviewed experimental studies of reading instruction and combined their results in meta-analyses.www.nichd.nih.gov/sites/default/files/publications/pubs/nrp/Documents/report.pdf

How we write these pages

  1. We read the source itself, not a news story about it.
  2. Every finding on a page names its source and where in the source it is found, so you can check it.
  3. We say how strong the evidence is, in the words of the people who reviewed it.
  4. We say what the research does not tell us. Most studies are done in schools, and no study can say what one child needs.
  5. If we get something wrong, tell us at hello@sounditoutreading.com and we will correct the page.

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